Crazy People and Terrorism

July 26th, 2011 | Posted by Alex Parsons in Media - (0 Comments)

Half MastIt's inevitable with breaking stories that the media is going to call some things wrong, what's more concerning is that it tends to do this in ways that are revealing of deeper problems. Immediately after the attacks in Norway the commentariat's initial reaction was to blame it on Islamic terrorism, which is understandable because it is after all the sexiest kind of terrorism. That the information that the majority of terrorist attacks in Europe are committed by home grown groups is easily found on the internet is neither here nor there – as Charlie Brooker put it, the media coverage was less experts than guessers and they "were terrible, like toddlers hypothesising how a helicopter works."

The news media is rarely humbled or apologetic when they get things wrong but simply moves on to being wrong about something else, often in the same story. The next step here is the assertion with little proof, that Anders Breivik is insane. It might well turn out that he is, but in the meantime not only does this reinforce the harmful stereotype connecting mental health issues with violence, it's also a bit convenient because irrational people can't be expected to be reacting to incentives and so it absolves anyone else of responsibility in creating an environment where he felt that terrorism was a good idea. It's not clear to me that his actions are inherently irrational, it's very apparently a politically motivated crime with the express purpose of a) harming 'the enemy' and b) gaining him and his beliefs exposure. Given the well-established pattern of how the world's media cover shootings, b was at least was a slam dunk. The Norwegian court in closing the hearing was operating under the strange principle that it shouldn't be a complacent part of a mass murderer's pre-meditated promotion strategy, something that media outlets have always had much more trouble doing. His (I'm assuming pre-prepared) image plastered websites and newspapers for days, the 24 news channels didn't stop for speculation and examination of his motives, and the attack spurred a series of 'He's obviously an awful person, but he's not wrong' articles. It's not the start of the revolution he hoped for but as a political act, it was far from inconsequential. Dismissing him as simply a 'maniac' ignores the fact that the reaction of the media to massacres like these actually acts as a powerful incentive to commit them.

On the other side of the blame game, insanity neatly helps those who occupy relatively mainstream spaces in society and have spent years fear mongering about Islam pending takeover of Europe to create a comfortable distance between themselves and Breivik. I'm going to pick on Tim Stanley's Telegraph post for being well ahead of the curve on this one. Despite Breivik obvious political motivations (like, he wrote them down) Stanley insists that these are the actions of a 'lone psychopath', and that any connection between his actions and his claimed motivations are entirely coincidental. His statement that "[t]he kind of person who can systematically shoot and kill that many people is mentally ill or possessed by demons" is helpful, because here 'mental illness' is performing exactly the same role that blaming things on demons does, a scapegoat that absolves us of responsibility1. Somehow these 'lone wolves' get the idea that the world would be a better place without certain groups and while maybe they're just picking ideas out of the aether, it is at least slightly possible that they are aided to these positions by reading the rhetoric of the people they say they're reading. While with the media platform issue there are at least clear steps that could be taken to reduce the problem, I'm not exactly sure what the solution is here. I do think there's some sort of moral duty incumbent on people not to make their careers spreading xenophobia and hate, but that's less because people might go out and shoot people and more because it's a generally shit thing to do. Melanie Phillips' response to finding two of her articles within his manifesto is revealing:

"The supposed beliefs of Norway massacre's perpetrator has got the left in general wetting itself in delirium at this apparently heaven-sent opportunity to take down those who fight for life, liberty and western civilisation against those who would destroy it."

I have vague sympathy here because Philips isn't actively fermenting armed revolution but to me safeguarding western civilisation is a cause that's probably worth killing for. If you're telling people the stakes are that high, can you really claim distance when people take you seriously? If having been repeatedly told by authority figures that your cause is literally the defence of western civilisation, you find yourself unable to effect the mainstream political process but know that you'll be given a world-wide platform if you commit a horrific act, why wouldn't it be rational to put your manifesto on the internet and go kill a bunch of kids? If the idea of 'killing innocents so more can be saved' is inherently crazy then there's a lot of foreign policy we need to revisit, and if killing full stop is a sign of deranged mind it's in even bigger trouble.

My point here is that you don't have to be crazy to be an extremist and you don't have to be crazy to kill people, either might be immoral but by themselves do not suggest anything about someone's sanity. It might yet turn out that Breivik is insane (his lawyer thinks he is, let's wait for the doctors) but should that happen it doesn't retrospectively improve the current rhetoric any more than if the attack had been carried out by al-Qaeda it would have made the initial coverage any less terrible – it simply means that that particular guess was correct and it's one rooted in prejudices and self-interest rather than reality.

  1. Stanley's attempt to dismiss his strawman notion that 'the left' thinks 'the right' is responsible for all anti-Islamic violence by equating it with the absurdity of the idea that 'the left' must be responsible for all anti-Christian violence is especially cruel given that many Christians would consider themselves to be on the left, and just the other year churchgoers in Tennessee were gunned down by a man with a hatred of liberals who name-checked several of the same people as Breivik. Also despite what he says links between Tea Party groups and white supremacists are alive and credible.

Tutition Fees Protest - London 9.12.10As the last fees post explored, my reading of the Browne report is that they found it's the responsibility of the state to ensure a decent level of funding for education but also that the government decision making process can't be trusted to carry this out - requiring a system in which money is compelled out of the government coffers as loans, with prices set elsewhere. The Browne report redefines the role of the state so that there is no splitting of the burden between public and private sources, but the state simply provides  the capital upfront to allow your future private self to fund your education. In this way it changes government's role from being the representation of the public interest to one where it plays banker and is no longer required to make funding decisions.

There are exceptions to this in a few courses that are deemed to require continued public funding. While the courses listed are discussed only in terms of economic worth, keeping any idea of a cultural benefit firmly out of range, what the report’s actually getting at here isn’t just which courses are and aren’t economically required but mostly that these are courses that are more expensive to run, and so require subsidies to hide the true cost from students who might be put off. This amounts to an acknowledgement of the fairly obvious reality that students will be put off from one course as opposed to another on the basis of price (even when the cost isn't paid upfront) and concludes that the intimidation of higher fees for economically vital professions is considered serious enough that intervention is required. But to play the free-market position for a moment (and indeed use the language used elsewhere in the report), surely if these professions are truly vital, their future employers will pay higher wages that justify the investment they make in an education? If student choice has failed us here, are there other instances we should correct for the market?

Interestingly this means the Browne report does have a notion of the public good, but only in so far as we have enough engineers – there is no such argument made, for instance, that there is a good in having our elite institutions truly open to all. 1  Browne at the same time as basing its system around the idea of student (consumer) choice, keeps pulling back from the idea that students are actually capable of making the correct decisions – and to be honest they’re probably right to – it’s not at all clear that even given ridiculous amounts of metrics prospective students will be in any position to make educated choices, as laid out in Stefan Collini’s excellent critique of Browne:

Browne appears to believe that the only relevant measure of teaching quality is ‘student satisfaction’. That is how the system will work: if they are satisfied, they’ll pay, and if not, not; and the pressure they exert thereby will ‘drive up quality’. But this, other problems aside, comes perilously close to reducing important human experiences to a set of ‘preferences’ as reported on a tick-box questionnaire. I would hope the students I teach come away with certain kinds of dissatisfaction (including with themselves: a ‘satisfied’ student is nigh-on ineducable), and it matters more that they carry on wondering about the source of that dissatisfaction than whether they ‘liked’ the course or not. This is another respect in which the ‘consumer’ model is simply misleading, an error encouraged by the prevalence in current edspeak of the category of ‘the student experience’ (many universities now have a senior figure entitled Pro-Vice-Chancellor, Student Experience). It may be that the most appropriate way to decide whether the atmosphere in the student bar is right is by what students say when asked in a questionnaire whether they ‘like’ it or not. But this is obviously not the best way to decide whether a philosophy degree should have a compulsory course on Kant. The philosophy department might hope that, some time after graduation, most of its former students would come to see the wisdom of this requirement, but ‘student satisfaction’ is not what is at issue here. That this recognition is retrospective tells us something important about education: individuals often need to be told by someone who knows that a particular line of study is worth pursuing whether at the time they want to or not.

While the report writers attempted to solve the perceived inability of politicians to make the right call on education by turning that decision over to a market, it’s not at all clear that the mechanism they picked is appropriate to the task and the report itself doesn’t have a great deal of trust in prospective students to make the right decisions when it’s really important. The vaguely tragic thing about the Browne report is that the version that arrived in the final coalition plan doesn’t even seem to achieve its own ends. Its goal of separating education funding from government oversight has failed as the caps mean that many universities will raise their fees to the cap just to replace cuts and so future governments will be required to either raise the cap or increase public investment in order to inject more money into the system. I don’t think it’s a universally terrible plan, the repayment plan is genuinely more progressive but it’s not at all convincing that the fees based market approach gives enough benefits to justify the discouraging effects that putting the price upfront  produces.

  1. I agree with Paul Sager that if we’re looking at elite institutions as a way for the poor to leapfrog into the higher echelons of society this isn’t the best conception of the overall problem, but that said a system in which the existing elite completely dominate the institutions that perpetuate it is even more undesirable than one in which that’s only partly true.

It's tough being a tabloid newspaper sub-editor. Generally, it's agreed that articles are easier to read if they have a picture, but it's too expensive to send a photographer to get an original photograph for every story.  So, to fill the gap, stock photo companies, such as Alamy, build massive databases of weird and wonderful pictures to use in generic stories. However, the stock nature of the pictures means that certain clichés become entrenched into British newspapers without us realising. So, here are the rules of tabloid newspaper pictures. All of these pictures are taken from articles in the Daily Mail this year. You will never look at newspapers in the same way again!

1. Laptops are only used at night by shady looking men. An article about the perils of the Internet or hacking (heh) wouldn't quite look right if placed next to a picture of a sweet old dear using a Mac. As a result, all laptop users are sinister looking blokes who browse unidentifiable websites in total darkness (or greenness if they're extra shady).

(article)

(article)

(article)

2. Kids are mean. When was the last time you saw a picture of a child doing what it's told in a paper? If they're not stealing cake off you whilst you look on helplessly, they're putting their teachers in a headlock or standing on the table.  Kids today eh!

 (article)

 (article)

  (article)

3. People around the country are putting their head in their hands and spreading their bills, cards and loose change on their desk in despair at rising prices. This is a perennial favourite of which there are literally hundreds of examples. Every article about any sort of financial woes, whether personal or national, will be accompanied by someone looking rather downbeat with all of their financial documents sprawled out in front of them. However, you do get a bit of creativity..

 Long range depressed man (article)

 

Close range depressed couple

As above, but with an adding machine!

4. Young people are usually used to show 'old people' conditions to make them more interesting. This one is slightly more sinister. Articles about conditions which are traditionally associated with older people usually feature rather more attractive models in their pictures. They could simply be trying to push an anti-ageist and open-minded news agenda. Or they could be trying to make their papers look nicer. We'll leave it up to you..

 (article)

 both suffering from angina

 breast cancer (article)

5. Readers only understand what something is if shown in bulk. At some national editors conference a few years ago it was evidently decided that readers are unable to comprehend the significance of an item unless it is shown as part of a set.

 (article) BREAD

 SAUCEPANS

 MARSHMALLOWS

6. Angry people just look weird. The Alamy files feature pictures for the full range of emotions- sad, happy, bemused, excited, sinister etc etc. However, whenever there is an article about anger management or stress, it's very hard to find a picture where the subjects don't look angry but instead just look a bit.. odd.

 (article)

 (article)

 

So next time you read a tabloid article or website, sit back and enjoy the bizarre mundaneness of stock photography!

Money and CalculatorNote: I started writing this piece back in January, the recent (and completely predictable) announcements that everyone who can get away with it will be charging the maximum spurred me to go back and finish it off.

I saw Aaron Porter on the 10 o’clock the other week (note: now many, many months ago) criticising fees and loans on the basis that it will put students into debt for decades, which coming from the NUS position of a graduate tax is a little unfair as there is no practical difference between repaying a loan for three decades and being subject to an additional tax for the same amount of time (especially if both the tax and repayments are structured in a progressive way). If we imagine a situation where universities charged an infinite fee, an infinite loan was given and repayments were structured progressively and had a sunset after a few decades, there is no difference whatsoever in the effect on the payee. There is however a psychological difference between a debt with an exact price attached and a fuzzy commitment to higher taxes that’s given too short a shrift in the report. Given the choice, giving people good news (free university!) with hidden bad news (new higher tax!) is better than giving bad news with hidden good news (Expensive university! Which you might not have to pay all of! And the repayments process is good! But the frogurt is also cursed etc) and efforts to reassure people that university is actually pretty affordable have to fight uphill against that basic gut reaction, no matter how nice the numbers look.

Because of that problem you’d hope that fees-and-loans had some pretty substantial advantages over a graduate tax, but the Report’s criticisms of it are quite revealing of what it’s actually trying to do. There are a few areas where fees-and-loans is cleaner than a graduate tax would be e.g. a graduate tax has issues reclaiming money from graduates who move abroad and in dealing with students who didn't complete their courses (not deriving enough benefit from their courses to justify a tax but still a drain on the education budget), but the big issue Browne finds with it is that it’s economically infeasible given that it won’t start to produce enough money to fund itself until 2041. This nicely overlooks that fees-and-loans also requires the government to borrow/spend a large amount of money year on year to be able to give loans to students and the average student won’t start come close to paying back the original amount until around the same time period. In both systems investment is not paid back for around 30 years – and in the meantime the money still has to come from somewhere. I think what the report’s criticism of a graduate tax is really getting at is the notion that runs right through the report that government has historically failed to make the investments necessary and cannot be trusted to provide the general investment or per student funding the system needs.

As I read it, the unwritten purpose throughout the report is to safeguard university funding from future government action under the (perhaps not unreasonable) assumption this government or likely future governments will not substantially increase the amount of money going into education through the block grant to universities, especially under the current austerity plans. It takes the approach of rather than arguing for increased public investment in further education, assume that that’s a lost cause and try to find ways to do it without government needing to be involved. By transforming all government spending on further education into a guarantee of providing loans and letting universities set the fees (with no caps) this gives universities a semi-blank check from the government coffers to invest in themselves. This I suspect is the serious objection of the Browne Report to a graduate tax, despite shifting the cost onto graduates as a group it leaves the funding decisions to government. With Fees-and-Loans that year on year spending is hidden and occurs automatically behind the loans, no actual decision is required to fund it. it’s hard to see any government challenging the idea of deferred payment and it’s far easier for fees-and-loans to hide behind this than a graduate tax.

However the problem here is that giving universities a blank cheque is a really bad idea because in the unlikely, “why would that ever happen?” event that lots of universities change high fees (ironically as Stephen Tall points out, this might not have happened without fee caps), the government is then on the hook for more than it’s really able to be and we end up with the situation where they’re desperately looking to offload some of the debt load onto the private sector. As the next post will go into, at the same time as a market-based system still runs into the money problem it’s also opened up a whole new can of worms in terms of what a market in education is actually supposed to function.

Poetry Corner

July 13th, 2011 | Posted by Danny Coleman-Cooke in Site Business - (0 Comments)

You cannot hope to bribe or twist,
thank God! the British journalist.
But, seeing what the man will do unbribed,
there's no occasion to.

Humbert Wolfe (1885-1940)

Call my Bluff…

July 10th, 2011 | Posted by Danny Coleman-Cooke in Media - (0 Comments)
News of the World

A rather amusing leader  piece from a 2009 edition of the News of the World has come to light today as the NOTW releases its final issue.

LAST week the News of the World was the subject of some ferocious and, at times, hysterical attacks on its credibility, integrity and journalistic standards.

The onslaught was led by a series of reports in the Guardian newspaper and hastily followed by the BBC, Sky News, and ITN.

The essence of their campaign was that members of our staff have engaged in a widespread and unlawful conspiracy to access "thousands" of mobile phones…

So, if the Guardian has any fresh evidence to support their claims against us, we invite them to pass it on to the police without delay.

Looks like they did…

Ainsley Hayes was Wrong

July 9th, 2011 | Posted by Alex Parsons in TV - (0 Comments)

To break away a bit from our 'ALL PHONE HACKING ALL THE TIME' postings, let's kick off part one of a million part series where we explore how the West Wing relates to everything in life. The (now a litttle old) story that Scalia holds the 14th Amendment doesn't apply to women reminds me of this classic West Wing scene where Ainsley Hayes, the White House's Republican lawyer, has an argument with Sam about the desirability of an Equal Rights Amendment for woman and her side of the argument almost entirely revolves around the fact she thinks the 14th Amendment does in fact apply to her:

SAM

How can you have an objection to something that says...?

AINSLEY

Because it’s humiliating! A new amendment that we vote on, declaring that I am equal under the law to a man. I am mortified to discover there’s reason to believe I wasn’t before. I am a citizen of this country. I am not a special subset in need of your protection. I do not have to have to have my rights handed down to me by a bunch of old, white men. The same Article 14 that protects you, protects me. And I went to law school just to make sure. And with that, I’m going back down to the mess, because I thought I may have seen, there, a peach. [leaves]

SAM

(to Larry and Ed)

I could've countered that, but I’d already moved on to other things in my head.

The key distinction here being that Ainsley is a fictional character while Scalia is on the Supreme Court, so for vastly unfair reasons his views are more important. But this does bring up a problem I have when I'm reading old reviews you find  recurring throw-away lines stating that the West Wing was guilty of straw man conservatives - characters who are only there to take ridiculous positions for our public spirited heroes to take shots at (with Ainsley herself being seen as a attempt to break from this). However watching it back, sure Republicans are generally portrayed as the Bad Guys but most who we come into regular contact with treated seen as good patriots who simply see things differently and any that aren't can hardly be seen as unrealistic.

Compared to the current unwillingness of House Republicans to pass a debt ceiling increase (something that they're on record as saying they agree should be done and would have awful consequences if it didn't) until they've secured every possible concession, the Republicans of the West Wing seem incredibly courteous. How civil was the Bartlett MS investigation? Good Republicans stop Leo's alcoholic history coming up and then allow the issue to pass with a censure rather than drag it out for all it's worth through the election, no “the single most important thing we want to achieve is for President Bartlett to be a one-term president" for them. It might just be that the ridiculous positions of the American right over the last decade has desensitised me, but it's rare that anything completely below the belt comes up on screen.

Image representing Rupert Murdoch as depicted ...

Image via CrunchBase

I wrote my initial blog post regarding the phone hacking affair just hours after the story about Millie Dowler broke on Monday night. The post was partly fuelled by disbelief and shock, but still tried to make a few predictions about how the whole thing may pan out and what the ultimate effect would be upon the British media. The story has snowballed over the past few days, with the News of the World now announcing its termination as a newspaper, and some of what I said has proved to be accurate and some of it well off the mark. However, having had days to unravel, it seems that a few points are becoming clear.

1. It is MUCH worse than it first appeared- We all thought that nothing could top the Dowler revelations, however since then it has emerged that the phones of 7/7 victims and the families of dead servicemen have all also been hacked. News International have warned that there is still worse to come, but the News of the World's already poor reputation has fallen through the floor in the past few days. It is no wonder that the NOTW has had to disband themselves as the NOTW brand has become absolutely toxic and repellent to advertisers and potential contributors.

2. Other newspapers have started, reluctantly, to join the outrage- In my earlier post, I commented on how no other tabloids were picking up the story, for the fear that they themselves will soon be incriminated. However, a look at yesterday's front pages has shown that all newspapers (except for the Sun and the NOTW as you may expect) are now giving it full coverage. Whether it means that other tabloids are confident in their activities remains to be seen (I very much suspect not), however it shows that they are at least in tune with the strength of feeling which surrounds this case. Also, no newspaper has yet dared to speak out against the planned public enquiry into tabloid journalistic practices, again due to the fear of a public backlash. This could perhaps be the media equivalent of the MPs expenses scandal. The News of the World being shut however may prove to be the industry's sacrificial lamb; the cancerous tumour which is removed in order to secure the stability of the rest of the News International empire.

3. Politicians are starting to stand up to Murdoch- The parliamentary debate yesterday showed the politicians have become fairly honest about the extent to which they were under the influence of Rupert Murdoch's publications throughout the past twenty years. They must now have seen a perfect opportunity to act upon the power of the media, with both party leaders calling for an enquiry and MPs such as Tom Watson and Chris Bryant bravely putting their heads above the parapet and keeping the momentum going. If proper media legislation is introduced and the BSkyB merger is put on ice, then we may see a change in political culture, as politicians release themselves from the grip of the Murdoch machine. The decision to axe the NOTW is clearly a Murdoch cost-benefit analysis, hoping that its removal will help to secure the much more lucrative BSkyB deal. Although with a constantly changing political climate, who knows..

4. The importance of Twitter power- No doubt Tweeters worldwide have already claimed victory, however it is certainly true that the NOTW would probably have still been fighting for its life without the Twitter influence. Twitter by its very nature seems to be create whirlwinds of outrage and action which seem particularly adept at applying pressure upon corporate entities. What ultimately killed NOTW was the withdrawal of nearly all of its advertising revenue, a move which was certainly helped by Twitter users messaging advertisers in order to apply a healthy dose of people power. As institutions such as Facebook and Twitter grow in strength, they could become a very powerful force. It will be interesting to see whether this Twitter outrage, or Twoutrage as it has become known (it hasn't really, I've just made it up) will keep up the pressure on Murdoch, especially if a new title such as the Sun on Sunday is introduced.

5. Paul McMullan is a horrible man- Understandably, very few News of the World journalists who took part in the phone hacking have been willing to put themselves into the spotlight, even if it meant missing out on a few quick bucks from interviews. Except for this man, who at various points this week, has described phone-hacking as 'a bit of a laugh', 'not a big deal' and 'the sign of a free press'. Even Hugh Grant is making himself immensely popular just for taking him on, which can generally be considered a decent barometer of public feeling.  Truly a walking PR disaster for News of the World and journalism as an industry.

6. Decent journalism still lives on- The Guardian, The Independent and the BBC are doing a fantastic job in unravelling and delving into what is truly the murkiest of stories. It goes to show that the British media has its heroes as well as its villains.

Keyboard While new revelations on the saga are pouring in by the hour, The Magistrate's Blog points out that there's a fair amount of repeat revelation as Wade admitted to paying police officers for information years ago. In other news, Michael White is busy brandishing his insider credentials and reminds us that the NOTW isn't all bad as some of the chaps he knows are of the decent sort and, after all, tabloids can reveal the kind of scandals that the broadsheets never could – almost as if they have some sort of secret means of gathering exclusive information.

It seems pretty likely the scandal will spread, what remains to see is in what direction. Many would like this to spread up and damage the News Corporation empire (and James Forsyth points out that animosity towards Murdoch can be found in  unexpected parts of the political spectrum) which could have fatal consequence for the BSkyB deal (I like to imagine this was all part of Vince Cable war-plan and, from his secret base under the streets of London, he's getting set to have the last laugh). But also joining the usual suspects in hoping this stays in Murdoch's house will be the various tabloids who would really like this particularly large dot on the map of awful abuses of privacy by newspapers not to spread sideways and get joined-up with other, less popular dots such as the 'fitting up the weird guy who looks like he probably did it' that the Mirror and Sun just got held in contempt for.

Of course not everyone is choosing to play the same game and from Liberal England we learn that The Telegraph is boldly closing in on the real villain of the story, the BBC.

The Purpose of Wikileaks

July 5th, 2011 | Posted by Alex Parsons in Wikileaks - (0 Comments)

Wikileaks logoOne of the things I'm interesting in at the moment is how through the internet we're seeing a form of activist emerge, looking to change the world through fairly untraditional means. As some of the most high profile and interesting examples, I'm going to look at Wikileaks and Facebook. My starting point is the idea that both of these are projects that attempt to utilize the power of technology to create social change without the need for a large consensus in favour of that change. Assange is much easier than Zuckerberg to examine in this respect because he's quite publicly explored and written down exactly what he believes and intends to accomplish and Wikileaks is quite clearly conceived of as a way to achieve these ends (whereas while Facebook is underpinned by various philosophies, I suspect it wasn't conceived of as a means to an end in quite the same way).

Aaron Bady has a fantastic exploration of his ideas here, but as he says Assange's original is quite readable. His basic premise is that most governments and organisations can be understood as conspiracies (with an explicit parallel to how terrorist networks have been modelled) that will create ways to communicate in secret. Having an environment where secrets can be kept makes it more likely that things that need to keep secret will occur (typically bad things) and so we want methods of destroying these conspiracies. The traditional method of destroying important nodes (e.g. assassination of key figures) is not always hugely effective if the network can route round them (plus it's frowned upon in politic society) so Assange focuses on how the links between conspirators can be disrupted to erode and reduce the 'total conspiratorial power' of the network. While that essay doesn't look at the idea of leaks specifically, Wikileaks quite clearly fits neatly into that role.

It's helpful to look at this through a specific example, so let's think about how 'cablegate' fits in. It's a nice point of irony the reason why this leak was possible at all was the realisation in the US intelligence community of the issue that more secure communication is not always the most effective communication, one of the conclusion that came out of the 9/11 commission was that a fair amount of useful information existed but was being kept in closed silos by various different agencies and that a system that sharing information needed to be used more. This led to massive expansion in the use of SIPRNet to the point it's now accessible in a large amount of embassies and US military bases, and while we can't say how many people have physical access to the system in 1993 at least three million had the 'secret' clearance that would have given them the right to view it and there's no particular reason to think that's decreased by a huge degree ( for scale, that's around 1% of the current US population). The electronic nature means that it's possible to steal what would once have been a warehouse of data out in something that fits in your pocket and while there are also safeguards in place to detect and prevent people doing exactly what Manning is accused of doing, there are suggestions that this was turned off as it was inconvenient for people using the system (The problem in microcosm: greater secrecy again getting in the way of an efficient system.)

The interesting bit of Assange's thinking is not the familiar trade-off between convenience/openness and secrecy/security but how he intends to use that to get the conspiracy to destroy itself. He argues that a conspiracy that's communication is compromised will lock down further, reducing its own ability to organise and conspire that will ultimately lead to it either losing the ability to function at all or reduce its ability to fight off outside threats. As Bady put it:

Instead, he is trying to strangle the links that make the conspiracy possible, to expose the necessary porousness of the American state's conspiratorial network in hopes that the security state will then try to shrink its computational network in response, thereby making itself dumber and slower and smaller.

This endgame and the focus on making the links between conspirators untrusted explains why these leaks are of a different character to how we'd normally expect leaks to look. Typically leaks are things considered by the leaker to be evidence of crimes, bad practice, etc but in this case while there have been a few juicy tidbits the vast majority of the leaks are quite boring because for this strategy the content of the leaks is almost unimportant as it's their very existence that reduces the trust of the conspirators and makes them turn on the system1.

In this case, we can probably expect to see the network close down, by enforcing the security procedures that already exist or having better division of access so that people on military bases in Iraq don't have access to the entire sum of secret knowledge but the interesting question is if the diplomats will trust any such system or if in future they'll be more guarded in what they write and just rely on informal communication for anything they don't want to write down.

This reliance on informal methods will indeed make it dumber, slower and less able to function – but will it shut down altogether? I suspect not, the modern state can survive an enormous amount of inefficiency and Stephen Walt's argument that through America's overwhelming global dominance its decision making processes are insulated from even large screw-ups applies here. US global hegemony and its state's secrecy culture can survive a lesser functioning diplomatic corp. and there are no real existential threats on the institution. The 'convince the snake to eat itself' strategy can only be effective in organisations where there is very small difference between 'status quo' and 'complete institutional collapse', which I don't think is the case in a lot of these organisations.

We can see other examples of this in the 'postit' culture it's been suggested has risen within the British government after FOI came in, where rather than leave controversial details in documents that may someday be subject to FOI request (and even ones that won't) these are attached as post-it notes to the documents, which can safely be discarded at the other end. Less efficient maybe and terrible for future historians, but it is unlikely to lead to internal collapse or leave it much more vulnerable to outside threats. The institution is secure. Fundamentally Wikileaks represents an attempt to create an institution that in turn creates institutional change in other organisations. It doesn't seek to directly destroy secretive norms of behaviour, it seeks to turn them in on themselves and my thinking is that this will ultimately prove ineffective as there are many lower levels of function the conspiracy will be willing to accept.

To return to starting point what I'm trying to get at is that the internet allows powerful institutions to exist without requiring much in the way of social support. One man with a Lady Gaga CD can download the entire backlog of diplomatic cables, and another group can deliver the largest leak in history to the world. In terms of sheer power, the internet is a great leveller but what Assange (and as we'll get to, Zuckerberg) want is norm changes. Wikileaks has the power to disrupt conspiracies directly by leaking damaging information on them but what he really wants to able to do is remove the ability to conspire and prevent future potential conspirators even wanting to – and I think this a goal I'm skeptical can be accomplished in all cases through the clash he describes and requires a view on how institutions can be reformed to openness.

  1. The other side of this is that releasing boring information shows how much information is pointlessly marked secret and can be seen as part of the argument in favour of more open government, all of us linked to all of us has greater ‘computational power’ in Assange’s language and releasing information more freely increases the prospects of it being combined with other useful information to result better analysis of that information. This is a view of government openness framed in terms of efficiency rather than public interest that can be picked up in a lot in techie discussion on the subject and I might see if I can explore further in a future post.